Friday, August 29, 2014

Solar Cycle 24 -- Decending

I have backed-off blogging on Global Warming and Climate Change.  From the graph above it is apparent that we are coming off another 11-year peak, which is lower than the previous two peaks:
Cycle 22 and Cycle 23.  The solar cycles move slowly.  If cycle-25 is lower -- in 11 or 12 years from now -- don't expect any Global Warming.  We are likely moving into a mini-ice age first.

For more details see the summary below:

 If history is a guide, it is safe to say that weak solar activity for a prolonged period of time can have a negative impact on global temperatures in the troposphere which is the bottom-most layer of Earth’s atmosphere – and where we all live. There have been two notable historical periods with decades-long episodes of low solar activity. The first period is known as the “Maunder Minimum”, named after the solar astronomer Edward Maunder, and it lasted from around 1645 to 1715. The second one is referred to as the “Dalton Minimum”, named for the English meteorologist John Dalton, and it lasted from about 1790 to 1830. Both of these historical periods coincided with below-normal global temperatures in an era now referred to by many as the “Little Ice Age”. In addition, research studies in just the past couple of decades have found a complicated relationship between solar activity, cosmic rays, and clouds on Earth. This research suggests that in times of low solar activity where solar winds are typically weak; more cosmic rays reach the Earth’s atmosphere which, in turn, has been found to lead to an increase in certain types of clouds that can act to cool the Earth.
Outlook  The increasingly likely outcome for an historically weak solar cycle continues the recent downward trend in sunspot cycle strength that began over twenty years ago during solar cycle 22. If this trend continues for the next couple of cycles, then there would likely be more talk of another “grand minimum” for the sun. Some solar scientists are already predicting that the next solar cycle, #25, will be even weaker than this current one. However, it is just too early for high confidence in these predictions since some solar scientists believe that the best predictor of future solar cycle strength involves activity at the sun’s poles during a solar minimum and the next solar minimum is still likely several years away.

Sunday, July 27, 2014

Denver Snuffer -- Over the Top Criticism of Church Leaders

Boo, I have been thinking about your comments for a week now, considering the issues more carefully.  When I read Denver's blog-posts now -- since his excommunication -- there always seems to be a jab in there that is over the top -- and not exactly true; there's always one down right unfriendly accusation against the leadership of the LDS Church.  For example, from Denver's post on July 23, 2014.

"This is a personal message for one of the men on the High Council who advocated my excommunication. He is a friend."
"There are many good people in the LDS Church. There is also some considerable good done by the LDS Church. But when adulterers, liars, idolaters and the ignorant who preside in wards, stakes and areas of the church insist their personal unworthiness is excused because they are loyal to a priesthood line of authority, as we presently find in the church, then someone needs to proclaim faith in Christ and repentance. Even if only one voice will speak up, God will vindicate faith in Him in the end."
"The Great Whore will always outnumber the few who are Christ's sheep. But that cannot detract from Christ's affection for those who hear His voice and defend His religion."

Look, I have excused a lot of Denver's rhetoric as attorney-speak that is meant to be understood as hyperbole. But he continues to go to far. I can "feel" the hard-edge in his message. Denver is not Lehi. The Church is not the apostate priesthood in Lehi's day.  Yes, Jesus used harsh words against the leadership of his day: "Woe unto you, scribes and Pharisees, hypocrites! for ye are like unto whited sepulchres, which indeed appear beautiful outward, but are within full of dead men's bones, and of all uncleanness." 

That's my point; the Church leadership is not full of "adulterers, liars, idolaters and the ignorant who preside in wards, stakes and areas of the church (who) insist their personal unworthiness is excused because they are loyal to a priesthood line of authority."  And maybe Denver would defend his statement by saying that he is only referring to the one or two bad apples. But his statement reads as a blanket accusation against the priesthood leadership, as if it the whole bunch comprise a den of thieves.

That's just not true, which makes the statement by Denver a lie. Sure, there are a few jerks that make it into church leadership; and that power goes to their head.  And there are a lot of leaders (a whole lot) who are not heavy in doctrine, and there are all kinds of complaints that can flow from that deficit.  I have (on more than occasionally, I suppose) had "the great big elders" speak to me in a condescending manner, when and because they really don't know what I'm talking about, because they know very little about the weightier matters of the kingdom. 

But Denver continues to go over top in his rhetoric, to the point that his accusations against the church amount to a pack of lies, not just hyperbole. As much as I appreciate a lot of Denver's message, I would have voted with "his friend" to recommend excommunication.  Why? Because of this juxtaposition: Read the late-great John Pontius, "The Triumph Zion," for example.  His message is as much or more Christ-focused, when compared to Denver's writings; and yet he characterizes the Church as preaching "the preparatory gospel."   According to Nibley, "we are free to go as far as we want."  

That's how I see the church presently. There is nothing holding a person back -- from pursuing "the fullness" of the promises and blessing that Joseph restored.  Just keep your mouth shut in public forums.  As to the future, that's a different matter.  

Yes, I have to repent, because I did walk out of HP Quorum last week after someone said, "can't we just keep to the basic everyday stuff." And that is a problem, because eventually there isn't anyone left-standing in leadership positions who has read "The Words Of Joseph Smith" for example. 

Where's the beef?  "Milk before meat, but meat...  (see Robert Millet on this subject.)

But strong meat belongeth to them that are of full age"—or in other words are mature—"even those who by reason of use have their senses exercised to discern both good and evil" (Hebrews 5:12-14).

"I think I would be correct in suggesting that the institutional Church is not responsible to teach very much meat; the Church teaches largely the milk of the gospel. Thus, it's foolish for members of the Church to become either disenchanted or discouraged because they aren't hearing deep doctrine preached in sacrament meeting or receiving new historical or doctrinal truth in Sunday School each week. The Church is, in many ways, like a university, a place where a person should learn to learn. We need not find fault with the Church if things are too simply presented or if matters seem repetitious. The gaining of meat becomes an individual responsibility, a personal quest. "God's earthly kingdom is a school in which his saints learn the doctrines of salvation. Some members of the Church are being taught elementary courses; others are approaching graduation and can do independent research where the deep and hidden things are concerned. All must learn line upon line and precept upon precept."  

D&C 19:22 For they cannot bear meat now, but milk they must receive; wherefore, they must not know these things, lest they perish.  (what things?) 

In conclusion though, regarding Denver, according to my "feeling" about his words -- I feel that Denver has gone over the top (too many time) in his rants against church leadership, based on the claim that he is the real thing, and the leader are a pack of wolves in sheep clothing.

The thing is, Denver is not the only voice crying in the wilderness. For example, from within the Church, even Bruce McConkie, in his last book, "A New Witness for the Articles of Faith" is hard on the priesthood from not pursuing the fullness, etc.  See his chapter on Personal Revelation, which is rather amazing.  Unfortunately, no one in the Church has read that book; nor have we read Nibley and taken his message seriously.  

Friday, July 11, 2014

Obama Least Approved by Mormons; Popular with Muslim

According to a Gallup poll released Friday that tracked responses for the first six months of 2014, 72 percent of Muslims said they approve of the president, compared with just 20 percent who disapprove.

Mormons were the least approving religious group, with 18 percent of Mormons approving and 78 percent disapproving of the president. Mormons in the past have ranked as the most conservative major religious group in the U.S.  The survey underscores a religious divide when it comes to presidential approval — Obama is more popular among non-Christians and less popular among Christians.

Those who classify as “Other non-Christian” gave the president a 59 percent approval rating, while Jewish Americans gave Obama a 55 percent approval rating and atheists or those who subscribe to no religion have a 54 percent approval rating.

The survey was conducted January-June 2014 with a random sample of 88,801 adults from all 50 states

Read more:

Thursday, July 10, 2014

More CO2 -- Good for the Biosphere

Notably, Dr. Idso emphasized that the increased CO2 levels allow plants to produce the same amount of crop yield with less water.  Moreover, plants are able to grow in dry areas where it had been previously too dry to exist.

Idso pointed out that there is a huge body of literature on the biological impacts of rising temperatures and atmospheric CO2 levels that the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ignores. He emphatically stated that atmospheric CO2 is not a pollutant. In fact, increased levels of CO2 reduce the negative effects of a number of plant stresses including: high salinity, low light, high and low temperatures, insufficient water, air pollution, and protects against herbivores i.e. being eaten by animals and insects.

Dr. Craig Idso, the founder, and current chairman of the board of the Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, provided a plethora of information on exactly how CO2 (favorably) affects the environment.

Polar Vortex -- Arrives in July?

The summer-time version of the Polar Vortex is about to arrive next week, bringing unusually cold air to the Great Lakes and much of central North America.

Many of the cold weather outbreaks this past winter were attributed to something called a Polar Vortex. This is where a flow pattern establishes in the upper atmosphere that draws cold arctic air down across the Canadian Prairies and down into the American mid-west and the Great Lakes region. 

When you average the temperatures we have seen for the first 9 days of July we are already 3°C below normal. Adding on this upcoming cold outbreak will likely cause the entire month to end up below average. This would mean that six of the first seven months of 2014 have brought below normal temperatures in Northern Ontario - with only June being near normal.

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

Greenpeace Founder -- Warmer Temperature Far Better

‘Today, we live in an unusually cold period in the history of life on earth and there is no reason to believe that a warmer climate would be anything but beneficial for humans and the majority of other species…It is “extremely likely” that a warmer temperature than today’s would be far better than a cooler one.’

Dr. Patrick Moore, a pioneer environmental activist and co-founder of Greenpeace. Dr. Moore, who led some of Greenpeace’s most famous direct action campaigns against whaling and seal hunts, is the author of Confessions of a Greenpeace Dropout: The Making of a Sensible Environmentalist. Moore told the conference he left Greenpeace when it “went anti-human.” Greenpeace, as well as much of the rest of the radical environmental establishment, he notes, regard humans not as part of the environment, but as enemies of the environment. Greenpeace claims to be for “renewables,” Moore pointed out, “but it is against the two best renewables: hydropower and trees.”

‘The fact that we had both higher temperatures and an ice age at a time when CO2 emissions were 10 times higher than they are today fundamentally contradicts the certainty that human-caused CO2 emissions are the main cause of global warming…When modern life evolved over 500 million years ago, CO2 was more than 10 times higher than today, yet life flourished at this time. Then an Ice Age occurred 450 million years ago when CO2 was 10 times higher than today.’

Global Warming -- Debate Not Over

Only 20% of Likely U.S. Voters believe the scientific debate about global warming is over, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. Sixty-three percent (63%) disagree and say the debate about global warming is not over. Seventeen percent (17%) are not sure.

Voters strongly believe the debate about global warming is not over yet and reject the decision by some news organizations to ban comments from those who deny that global warming is a problem.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on July 7-8, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Monday, July 7, 2014

BBC Giving Too Much Time to Climate Skeptics

 The BBC was accused in April of misleading viewers about climate change by giving too much air time to unqualified skeptics -- -- according to the BBC Trust.

Since the review began in 2010, nearly 200 BBC senior staff were sent to workshops to learn what it means to cover science impartially. Andrew Miller, chairman of Parliament’s science and technology select committee, said in a statement: “The key point the workshops tried to impart is that impartiality in science coverage does not simply lie in reflecting a wide range of views, which may result in a ‘false balance.More crucially it depends on the varying degree of prominence such views should be given. In this respect, editorial decisions should be guided by where the scientific consensus might be found on any given topic, if it can in fact be determined.”    What???

Sunday, July 6, 2014

Tim Malone Gave Up His LDS Temple Recommend :(

Look here, there are many truths that I have from the Lord that I will not shout from the housetops, because its not my job.  Denver may be a prophet in his own home. (I have experienced powers -- more than a man -- due to certain gifts of the Spirit that I have received from time to time.)  But I don't see that it's my job to teach all I have. (I don't go around teaching Adam-God, for example, because the GA's have said we will ex you for that teaching.)

Yes, I open my mouth, and I'm fairly daring; but I've not really had but one person interested, in all my years of showing people great stuff.  (Now the total may be three.) Its an individual thing.  Most people are not ready; they're just not ready.

In fact, the BoM tells us exactly how far we are intended to go publicly. See 3 Nephi 11.  Up to and through Baptism of Fire is what we are commanded to teach (no more and no less -- which was an issue for me, but I let it).  Entering Christ's present through the use of temple ordinances is not taught in the BoM -- see, because it is a mystery, not to disclosed to those who are not ready.

However, I think there is a doctrinal issue (something lost to general knowledge) that takes the pressure off of one (to some degree) and removes the intense need to redirect the church during this cycle of "time and eternity."  You guys are all good folks; I see that; Denver is great with the history; but he's not heavy in doctrine, really. This is a Telestial Kingdom; a judgement sphere. (Listen to the Temple narrative -- oh, Tim, you can't do that any more ;)  Anyway, once you realize that Joseph and others have taught that this TK is not a one-chance system, then you realize that its not so important to press everyone to reach your level. (I have a short blog on the subject, that no one reads, so I don't get in trouble.

The point is that its not so critical to "save" everyone this "time" around.  Open you eyes; hear what the temple teach about doctrine. Once you realize that even David has another shot at exultation (in the highest kingdom) then you can relax a bit. Work on your own progression; help where you can.
The Church is teaching the Introductory Gospel, and the higher doctrine is there for those who want it.

Saturday, July 5, 2014

Re: Tim Malone on Apostasy & Excommunication

Denver: “The forces who are in control of the organization are working harder to stifle what little light that still remains.” I assume this is hyperbole, of course; but, really, why does Denver take shots at the GA’s like that? The leadership may be off the mark, in some regards, or in many regards, (depending on where you’re at). Do you think the leaders are “trying to stifle what little light still remains?” There is a huge difference; being wrong, but doing the best you can do, based on your knowledge and culture — verses trying to lead the Church astray. Tim, can you not feel the chip that Denver is carrying? Look, I understand the Doctrine of Christ, and all these mysteries, starting with the Baptism of Fire. There is nothing new here; its all in the scriptures (in the BoM especially.) But in the past, those of us who have spoken of these sacred things have done so in code, more or less; especially regarding “the apostasy” (not regarding apostates.) For example, Brother Nibley wrote a monograph titled, “When the Lights Went Out” about 1st and 2nd century Christians, when (within the church) the rhetoric of the schools replaced those apostles who could give first-hand testimony of their direct experience (like Paul). What do you think the Nib was writing about? He was writing to those who have ears to hear. Read and understand Isaiah and you will see the future. There’s no use reaching out to steady the arc. Its not in the cards. The questions are all about timing. When? Coming in direct conflict with the GA’s is nuttily. I could see clearly how the thing with Denver was going to end — simply by reading his last book. There was no question what was going to happen. All of you who were surprised or don’t understand the line that is crossed to get exec — I don’t understand. Its clear what it takes to get exec. Denver has taught 80% great stuff; but I would never never ever give up my TR in support of a guy with such a big chip on his shoulder, who obviously wanted to take on the church. He was the aggressor. He took the first swing; if he didn’t know what was coming, then he’s not that great an attorney. Tim, are you wanting to follow that path and be “right.” The church teaches the “preparatory gospel.” After that, you are on your own, to pursue as much “greater light and knowledge” as you want. The church has its own course to follow. In the time we have left, I do as much good as I can in the church and outside; open my mouth when its appropriate; yes, I say too much sometimes, and some people in my ward think I’m a bit nutty; but I don’t go overboard trying to advocate for a particular position — for what? to become popular. “Power, popularity, gain, and the lusts of the flesh.” Popularity is a very powerful temptation. We all have to watch out for that one; on all levels.

Thursday, July 3, 2014

New Southern Sea-Ice Record

Mark Serreze, director of the National Snow and Ice Data Center, responded to e-mail questions and also spoke by telephone about the new record sea ice growth in the Southern Hemisphere, indicating that, somewhat counter-intuitively, the sea ice growth was specifically due to global warming.

The new record is 2.112 million square kilometers above normal. Until the weekend just past, the previous record had been 1.840 million square kilometers above normal, a mark hit on December 20, 2007.

Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Penalize People -- who contribute to climate change?

Speaking in New York City last week, Wall Street billionaire Tom Steyer laid clear his vision for penalizing people whose actions may contribute to climate change.
“We need to reward people whose behavior reduces climate risk and penalize people who add to it,” said Steyer “If we can get this right, I think there’s no doubt that our economy is going to continue to do very well.”
He was joined by several wealthy businessmen — such as Michael Bloomberg and former bankers and government officials Hank Paulson and Robert Reich— to unveil a report from Risky Business, an economic analysis of the financial impact to be caused by climate change.
A Wall Street baron, Steyer’s words are not to be taken lightly. Deemed the ‘liberal answer to the Koch Brothers, he’s one of the richest businessman in the United States and played a key part in raising millions of dollars to elect Barack Obama in 2008 once Hillary Clinton lost the Democratic nomination.
He met with the president this week to discuss what the White House could do to tackle climate change, and how “insurance industry’s role in helping American communities prepare for extreme weather and other impacts of climate change,” according to Reuters.